The Amarillo Pioneer

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Poll: Paxton Establishes Wide Lead in AG Runoff

Paxton and Bush/Photos by Campaigns

Incumbent Republican Ken Paxton has established a large lead over Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush in the upcoming runoff for attorney general, according to a new poll released this week.

According to a new poll from the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation, Paxton is leading the race for attorney general with 65 percent of support among “likely” voters, against Bush’s 23 percent. When the survey respondents are filtered to just be “almost certain voters,” Paxton’s lead grows to 71 percent versus 20 percent for Bush.

The poll also found Democratic voters to have a favorite in their upcoming attorney general runoff, with Rochelle Garza leading Joe Jaworski among both “likely” and “almost certain” voters. Garza leads both categories, 46-31 percent and 51-30 percent, respectively.

In a head-to-head general election matchup among “likely” voters, the poll also found Paxton to be the strongest candidate against either Garza or Jaworski. Against Garza, Paxton leads, 48-42 percent, while he also leads Jaworski, 48-41 percent. Against Bush, however, voters showed split support for the Land Commissioner and Garza, with both candidates receiving 39 percent of support. Against Jaworski, Bush trails by one point, 38-39 percent.

Presumptive Libertarian nominee Mark Ash’s performance was also stronger in both matchups with Bush, receiving 7 percent in the Bush-Garza matchup, and 8 percent in the Bush-Jaworski matchup. Against Paxton, Ash received 3 percent in both matchups against the Democratic candidates.

The poll also found Gov. Greg Abbott leading the race for Texas governor among “likely” voters. Among this group of respondents, Abbott received 50 percent of support, while Democrat Beto O’Rourke received 42 percent, Libertarian Mark Tippetts received 2 percent, and Green Delilah Barrios received 1 percent.

The runoff elections will be decided on Tuesday, May 24.

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